Showing posts with label Predictably Irrational. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictably Irrational. Show all posts

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Unpredictably Rational

For my news writing class, I read a book on behavioral economics titled, Predictably Irrational, by Dan Ariely.  It explained how individuals will often make irrational decisions because of seemingly insignificant factors.  For example, Ariely, argued that people often don't know how to value goods and, consequently, will choose an item whose price is at the midpoint of all the others.  He illustrated how restaurants can persuade diners to spend more by adding a few exceptionally expensive items to the menu not necessarily to sell but, instead, to increase the value of the median priced dish.  
Following the themes presented in his book I created my own predictably irrational experiment. Here it is. 
Students at the Stern School of Business are taught the basics of economics, including monetary policy.  Therefore I chose this group to test my hypothesis of whether people who are generally knowledgeable about a policy proposal (in this case a switch to the gold standard) will alter their opinion if they are told that it is supported by a highly respected individual.
Over two days I questioned 40 Stern students in and around the Kaufman Management Center on the topic of the gold standard.  I chose this theme because it generally maintains little support amongst business people and economists and, consequently, my first round of questioning would provide a baseline with plenty of room for change in opinion.  
As it turned out, that is what happened.  The first day I asked twenty people at random the following question.

“Should the US revert back to the gold standard, that is should every dollar be backed by a specific amount of gold?